tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Providence via Charlotte: arrives on time 70%

  1. 12:07 PHL → 14:00 CLT
    AA 1311 · American · 1h 53m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:20 CLT → 18:30 PVD
    AA 2338 · American · 2h 10m · 76% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 23mPHL 12:07 to PVD 18:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.