tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Little Rock via Charlotte: arrives on time 51%

  1. 17:00 LGA → 19:18 CLT
    AA 1320 · American · 2h 18m · 62% on time, 7.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 CLT → 21:40 LIT
    AA 3692 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 13m · 79% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Little Rock is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 38mLGA 17:00 to LIT 21:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.