tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Knoxville via Charlotte: arrives on time 38%

  1. 17:00 LGA → 19:18 CLT
    AA 1320 · American · 2h 18m · 62% on time, 7.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:38 CLT → 23:49 TYS
    AA 5511 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 12m · 44% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip6h 50mLGA 17:00 to TYS 23:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.