tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Fresno via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 13%

  1. 18:10 DEN → 21:18 DFW
    AA 1322 · American · 2h 08m · 42% on time, 6.2% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:07 DFW → 23:27 FAT
    AA 3091 · American · 3h 21m · 45% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fresno is 1 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection32%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 68% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time13%First flight not cancelled (6.2% are) × connection made (32%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip6h 18mDEN 18:10 to FAT 23:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.