tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Las Vegas via Miami: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:00 SDF → 08:33 MIA
    AA 1325 · American · 2h 33m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:25 MIA → 11:41 LAS
    AA 2010 · American · 5h 16m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip8h 41mSDF 06:00 to LAS 11:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.