tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Phoenix via Miami: arrives on time 74%

  1. 05:34 MEM → 09:03 MIA
    AA 1340 · American · 2h 29m · 93% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:59 MIA → 12:56 PHX
    AA 3172 · American · 4h 48m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip9h 13mMEM 05:34 to PHX 12:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.