tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Albuquerque → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 24%

  1. 14:13 ABQ → 18:29 ORD
    AA 1341 · American · 3h 16m · 49% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:40 ORD → 21:25 BNA
    AA 6326 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 53% on time, 9.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h ahead of Albuquerque). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (9.9% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip6h 12mABQ 14:13 to BNA 21:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.