tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Greensboro via Philadelphia: arrives on time 36%

  1. 18:25 MIA → 21:20 PHL
    AA 1349 · American · 2h 55m · 56% on time, 10.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 PHL → 23:58 GSO
    AA 6012 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 48m · 88% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (10.0% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 33mMIA 18:25 to GSO 23:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.