tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Albuquerque → Portland via Phoenix: arrives on time 40%

  1. 19:16 ABQ → 19:36 PHX
    AA 1351 · American · 1h 20m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 PHX → 23:08 PDX
    AA 561 · American · 2h 43m · 68% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 1 h behind Albuquerque). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 52mABQ 19:16 to PDX 23:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.