tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Fairbanks via Anchorage: arrives on time 76%

  1. 17:00 ORD → 20:51 ANC
    AA 1354 · American · 6h 52m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 49m layover in Anchorage (ANC) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:40 ANC → 00:44 FAI +1 day
    AS 2250 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 04m · 95% on time, 9.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 3 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 79 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 49m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (9.5% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip10h 44mORD 17:00 to FAI 00:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.