tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Newark via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 57%

  1. 20:17 ANC → 05:47 DFW
    AA 1355 · American · 6h 30m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:00 DFW → 11:31 EWR +1 day
    AA 1820 · American · 3h 31m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip11h 14mANC 20:17 to EWR 11:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.