tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Minneapolis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 29%

  1. 13:39 ATL → 15:10 DFW
    AA 1358 · American · 2h 31m · 74% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:59 DFW → 18:23 MSP
    AA 2148 · American · 2h 24m · 52% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip5h 44mATL 13:39 to MSP 18:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.