tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Madison via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:00 DFW → 07:38 ORD
    AA 1360 · American · 2h 38m · 80% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 57m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:35 ORD → 11:49 MSN
    UA 5843 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 14m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 87 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 57m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip6h 49mDFW 05:00 to MSN 11:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.