tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Las Vegas via Miami: arrives on time 15%

  1. 19:00 ATL → 21:00 MIA
    AA 1367 · American · 2h 05m · 30% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 MIA → 23:59 LAS
    AA 3076 · American · 5h 09m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection24%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 76% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (24%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip7h 59mATL 19:00 to LAS 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.