tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Tampa via Miami: arrives on time 21%

  1. 19:00 ATL → 21:00 MIA
    AA 1367 · American · 2h 05m · 30% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:09 MIA → 23:15 TPA
    AA 3188 · American · 1h 06m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip4h 15mATL 19:00 to TPA 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.