tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Birmingham via Miami: arrives on time 58%

  1. 19:00 ATL → 21:00 MIA
    AA 1367 · American · 2h 05m · 30% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:56 MIA → 23:59 BHM
    AA 3427 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 03m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 59mATL 19:00 to BHM 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.