tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Birmingham via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 16:00 MIA → 18:04 ATL
    AA 1367 · American · 2h 04m · 44% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:44 ATL → 21:40 BHM
    DL 2257 · Delta · 56m · 83% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 40mMIA 16:00 to BHM 21:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.