Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Atlanta → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 28%
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19:43 ATL → 21:11 ORDAA 1372 · American · 2h 33m · 43% on time, 4.2% cancelled
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1h 23m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:34 ORD → 00:14 PHX +1 dayAA 2786 · American · 3h 39m · 55% on time, 11.1% cancelled
Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (11.1% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip7h 30mATL 19:43 to PHX 00:14, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.