Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Madison via Chicago: arrives on time 42%

  1. 19:43 ATL → 21:11 ORD
    AA 1372 · American · 2h 33m · 43% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 49m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:00 ORD → 00:10 MSN +1 day
    AA 3728 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 10m · 74% on time, 10.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 64 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 49m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (10.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 27mATL 19:43 to MSN 00:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.