Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Traverse City via Chicago: arrives on time 26%

  1. 19:43 ATL → 21:11 ORD
    AA 1372 · American · 2h 33m · 43% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 ORD → 00:17 TVC +1 day
    AA 3910 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 20m · 78% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection37%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 63% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (37%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 37mATL 19:43 to TVC 00:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.