Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Chicago: arrives on time 37%

  1. 19:43 ATL → 21:11 ORD
    AA 1372 · American · 2h 33m · 43% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:30 ORD → 00:27 XNA +1 day
    AA 3960 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 57m · 68% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 44mATL 19:43 to XNA 00:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.