Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Tulsa via Chicago: arrives on time 28%

  1. 19:43 ATL → 21:11 ORD
    AA 1372 · American · 2h 33m · 43% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:05 ORD → 00:10 TUL +1 day
    AA 4281 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 01m · 75% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 23mATL 19:43 to TUL 00:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.