Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Atlanta → Madison via Chicago: arrives on time 25%
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19:43 ATL → 21:11 ORDAA 1372 · American · 2h 33m · 43% on time, 4.2% cancelled
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54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:05 ORD → 23:15 MSNAA 4698 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 10m · 68% on time, 7.1% cancelled
Total trip 4h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 32mATL 19:43 to MSN 23:15, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.