tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Madison via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 24%

  1. 17:34 ATL → 19:08 DFW
    AA 1376 · American · 2h 34m · 43% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 28m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:36 DFW → 22:53 MSN
    AA 876 · American · 2h 17m · 48% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 28m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip6h 19mATL 17:34 to MSN 22:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.