tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Springfield via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 37%

  1. 17:34 ATL → 19:08 DFW
    AA 1376 · American · 2h 34m · 43% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:23 DFW → 21:54 SGF
    AA 4092 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 31m · 82% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Springfield is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 20mATL 17:34 to SGF 21:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.