tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Memphis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 12%

  1. 20:01 ATL → 21:32 DFW
    AA 1379 · American · 2h 31m · 39% on time, 10.1% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:30 DFW → 18:30 MEM +1 day
    AA 1646 · American · 1h 33m · 39% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time12%First flight not cancelled (10.1% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip5h 02mATL 20:01 to MEM 18:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.