tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 11%

  1. 16:00 DFW → 19:11 ATL
    AA 1379 · American · 2h 11m · 34% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:07 ATL → 22:20 DCA
    AA 5560 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 13m · 52% on time, 18.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection28%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 72% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (28%) × second flight not cancelled (18.4% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip5h 20mDFW 16:00 to DCA 22:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.