tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Washington via Miami: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:10 ORD → 10:22 MIA
    AA 1380 · American · 3h 12m · 89% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:59 MIA → 14:44 DCA
    AA 1606 · American · 2h 45m · 87% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 34mORD 06:10 to DCA 14:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.