tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Santa Ana via Phoenix: arrives on time 46%

  1. 07:50 CLT → 09:19 PHX
    AA 1381 · American · 4h 29m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 PHX → 11:43 SNA
    AA 2655 · American · 1h 28m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 53mCLT 07:50 to SNA 11:43, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.