tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 48%

  1. 06:46 SNA → 12:02 DFW
    AA 1382 · American · 3h 16m · 89% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:10 DFW → 17:56 JFK
    AA 1049 · American · 3h 46m · 58% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip8h 10mSNA 06:46 to JFK 17:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.