Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Chicago → San Diego via Phoenix: arrives on time 14%
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14:25 ORD → 16:09 PHXAA 1384 · American · 3h 44m · 34% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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57m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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17:06 PHX → 18:18 SANAA 2466 · American · 1h 12m · 46% on time, 1.4% cancelled
Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection31%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 69% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (31%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip5h 53mORD 14:25 to SAN 18:18, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.