Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Chicago → Santa Barbara via Phoenix: arrives on time 20%
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14:25 ORD → 16:09 PHXAA 1384 · American · 3h 44m · 34% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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53m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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17:02 PHX → 18:34 SBAAA 2515 · American · 1h 32m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Barbara is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection28%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 72% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (28%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 09mORD 14:25 to SBA 18:34, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.