Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Chicago → Tucson via Phoenix: arrives on time 27%
-
14:25 ORD → 16:09 PHXAA 1384 · American · 3h 44m · 34% on time, 0.0% cancelled
-
56m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
-
17:05 PHX → 17:54 TUSAA 4126 · American, flown by Envoy · 49m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 5h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tucson is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection30%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 70% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (30%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 29mORD 14:25 to TUS 17:54, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.