tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Springfield via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 37%

  1. 15:02 ATL → 16:35 DFW
    AA 1386 · American · 2h 33m · 60% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:36 DFW → 19:07 SGF
    AA 3797 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 31m · 66% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Springfield is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 05mATL 15:02 to SGF 19:07, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.