tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Honolulu via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 54%

  1. 08:01 MSP → 10:36 DFW
    AA 1395 · American · 2h 35m · 87% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:30 DFW → 14:26 HNL
    AA 5 · American · 7h 56m · 68% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 11h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 5 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip11h 25mMSP 08:01 to HNL 14:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.