tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Nashville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 34%

  1. 10:42 AUS → 11:56 DFW
    AA 1396 · American · 1h 14m · 79% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:47 DFW → 14:39 BNA
    AA 1475 · American · 1h 54m · 49% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 3h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip3h 59mAUS 10:42 to BNA 14:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.