tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Seattle via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 32%

  1. 14:44 AUS → 16:03 DFW
    AA 1397 · American · 1h 19m · 66% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:55 DFW → 19:15 SEA
    AA 2009 · American · 4h 18m · 57% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip6h 29mAUS 14:44 to SEA 19:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.