Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Austin → Memphis via Chicago: arrives on time 32%
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18:26 AUS → 21:39 ORDAA 1398 · American · 3h 13m · 60% on time, 5.3% cancelled
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51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:30 ORD → 00:18 MEM +1 dayAA 3945 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 48m · 71% on time, 3.6% cancelled
Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (5.3% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 52mAUS 18:26 to MEM 00:18, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.