tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → New York via Los Angeles: arrives on time 46%

  1. 19:25 LAS → 20:41 LAX
    AA 1399 · American · 1h 16m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:27 LAX → 06:03 JFK +1 day
    AA 10 · American · 5h 36m · 85% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 38mLAS 19:25 to JFK 06:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.