tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Portland via Austin: arrives on time 85%

  1. 11:03 PHL → 13:53 AUS
    AA 1401 · American · 3h 49m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 48m layover in Austin (AUS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:41 AUS → 19:50 PDX
    AS 1396 · Alaska · 4h 09m · 86% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 11h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 48m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip11h 47mPHL 11:03 to PDX 19:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.