tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → El Paso via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 11%

  1. 12:40 AUS → 13:54 DFW
    AA 1402 · American · 1h 14m · 37% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:49 DFW → 15:34 ELP
    AA 1802 · American · 1h 45m · 44% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 3h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection29%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 71% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (29%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip3h 54mAUS 12:40 to ELP 15:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.