tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 35%

  1. 12:40 AUS → 13:54 DFW
    AA 1402 · American · 1h 14m · 37% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 19m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:13 DFW → 21:00 JFK
    AA 578 · American · 3h 47m · 57% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 19m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip7h 20mAUS 12:40 to JFK 21:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.