tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Panama City Beach via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 33%

  1. 12:40 AUS → 13:54 DFW
    AA 1402 · American · 1h 14m · 37% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:05 DFW → 18:17 ECP
    AA 5187 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 12m · 55% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip5h 37mAUS 12:40 to ECP 18:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.