tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Las Vegas via Phoenix: arrives on time 53%

  1. 17:55 TPA → 19:21 PHX
    AA 1402 · American · 4h 26m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:36 PHX → 21:43 LAS
    AA 2106 · American · 1h 07m · 68% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 48mTPA 17:55 to LAS 21:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.