tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Columbus via Phoenix: arrives on time 40%

  1. 07:13 DEN → 08:08 PHX
    AA 1404 · American · 1h 55m · 80% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:54 PHX → 15:47 CMH
    AA 1689 · American · 3h 58m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 39mDEN 07:13 to CMH 15:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.