tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Monterey via Phoenix: arrives on time 78%

  1. 07:13 DEN → 08:08 PHX
    AA 1404 · American · 1h 55m · 80% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:04 PHX → 12:05 MRY
    AA 3720 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 01m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Monterey is 1 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 52mDEN 07:13 to MRY 12:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.