tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Bozeman via Phoenix: arrives on time 42%

  1. 07:13 DEN → 08:08 PHX
    AA 1404 · American · 1h 55m · 80% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:55 PHX → 12:40 BZN
    AA 6416 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 45m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 27mDEN 07:13 to BZN 12:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.