tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Pensacola via Charlotte: arrives on time 31%

  1. 17:41 AUS → 21:39 CLT
    AA 1408 · American · 2h 56m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:25 CLT → 23:08 PNS
    AA 1007 · American · 1h 43m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip5h 27mAUS 17:41 to PNS 23:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.