tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Panama City Beach via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 36%

  1. 09:43 STL → 11:38 DFW
    AA 1410 · American · 1h 54m · 82% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:27 DFW → 14:31 ECP
    AA 1796 · American · 2h 04m · 52% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip4h 48mSTL 09:43 to ECP 14:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.