tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Tampa via Miami: arrives on time 43%

  1. 18:08 AUS → 22:02 MIA
    AA 1411 · American · 2h 58m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:13 MIA → 00:19 TPA +1 day
    AA 1714 · American · 1h 06m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 11mAUS 18:08 to TPA 00:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.